18 Days

Don't act like you didn't know or it was creeping up like tax day. - It is the "Greatest Two Minutes in Sports" and the real clock has started ticking. As we inch closer there is a process that should start now if you haven't already. - Here are the top point earners from US Racing:

Start reading who is coming to Churchill and when. Always good to arrive a little early and get a couple moves over the deep track. - I always give a big nod to those who get two works and one is very nice.

Any late equipment or shoe changes scares my bankroll - If you need to change going into battle this far down the line you're guessing.

Toss out every "curse" or superstition. - This has been one of the most equal fields in years. - I'm looking for a (9-2) win pool favorite.

There will be a few jocks with multiple chances on to ride - At this level it doesn't mean that much. I'll take Javier Castellano, Jose Ortiz, or Mike Smith. - These decisions come from great communication with the owner and trainer about who fits best. - Somebody will be happy and someone will be kicking themselves for not going the other way.

Speaking of jockeys - Toss out the rider who has never been this far. - Oh, I'm sure you're thinking about Stewart Elliot who did a fabulous job, but this is a riders race. One who knows the track and been on the big stage. - I'll go down with a top money rider anyday. Their percentage is better and they make few mistakes.

Go back and watch as many replays as possible - This will be worth it's weight in gold.

Don't start sweating the post draw - There is a curse about coming of the #1 hole. Somebody better go back in history and take away Bill Shoemaker's win on Ferdinand as the oldest rider to win the Derby. - Good riders find a way to save ground, get away good, and know just when to push the button.

Relax and enjoy the ride!

With 18 days heading into the Derby here are few I like:

Roadster = A son of Quality Road for Bob Baffert. Quality Road would have been the favorite in 2010 if not for a quarter crack. - He is a light nimble runner who looks to be coming into his own at the perfect time.

Code of Honor = A son of first-crop Noble Mission for the Shug McGaughey barn. - Anytime you see a "Shug" runner you have to give extra consideration. - He can go long and will give them fits if all goes well.

Win Win Win = Has a late kick that can be effective for a hot pace - I'm watching closely how he takes to the track and feels in the next 18 days.